Verification of the Cuban Terminal Aerodrome’s Forecasts (Part II). Groups of Change and Probability
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Abstract
In this work it shows up the second part of the methodology for the verification of Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) issued by the Main Office of Meteorological Surveillance, which belongs to the Institute of Civil Aeronautics of Cuba. This part is dedicated to the verification of the groups of change and probability included in the TAF, which evaluates the correct use of this groups, the behavior of the variables during or after the change, and the individual characteristics of each group. The requirements of the Organization of International Civil Aviation picked up in the Annex 3 for the meteorological services for the international air navigation were considered, as well as others of national character considered in the Cuban’s Aeronautical Manuals and Regulations. The procedure here exposed is implemented in the Automated System for the Evaluation of the TAF (SAETAF), software that was introduced officially in the Main Office of Meteorological Surveillance in Cuba from November of 2015. Also, the methodology presented could be used in the verification of TAFs elaborated by Meteorological Offices of Aerodrome of other countries.
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References
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Nathalí Valderá Figueredo. Centro de Pronósticos, Instituto de Meteorología. E- mail: nathali.valdera@gmail.com
Guillermo Armengol Matas. Empresa Cubana de Navegación Aérea, Instituto de Aeronáutica Civil de Cuba. E- mail: armengol.guillermo@gmail.com