Temperature climate extremes and their relationship with atmospheric teleconnection patterns during the winter
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Abstract
This investigation has as main objective to study the observed changes on temperature climate extremes from winter in the period 1981-2016 in western Cuba and to determine the influence of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on climate extremes. Temperature climate extremes were related to teleconnection patterns, which have great influence in the interannual and multiannual behavior of the Cuban climate. Statistical methods such as cluster analysis were used to study the variables, and principal component analysis was used to determine the influence of ENSO, AO and NAO on the climate extremes. As result, climate extreme indices reflected an increase in the warm days and warm nights, while less cold days and cold nights were found. In general, the results shown that if the teleconnection indexes increase, then cold events decrease and warm events increase. Besides, AO and NAO were the teleconnection patterns that better explain the observed variability.
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Gil-ReyesL., González-GarcíaI., Hernández-GonzálezD., & Álvarez-GuerreroM. (2020). Temperature climate extremes and their relationship with atmospheric teleconnection patterns during the winter. Revista Cubana De Meteorología, 26(4). Retrieved from http://rcm.insmet.cu/index.php/rcm/article/view/528
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References
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Hernández, B. 2002. “El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENOS) y los frentes fríos que arriban a la región occidental cubana”. Investigaciones marinas, 30(2): 3-19.
Justiz, A. 2010. Circulación troposférica asociada a los Frentes Fríos Fuertes que han afectado a Cuba en el período 1950 - 2008. Tesis de Diploma, La Habana: Instituto Superior de Tecnologías y Ciencias Aplicadas, 114p.
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Lü, J.; Li, Y.; Zhai, P. & Chen, J. 2016. “Teleconnection patterns impacting on the summer consecutive extreme rainfall in Central-Eastern China”. International Journal of Climatology . 37(8): 3367-3380. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4923
McLean, N. M.; Stephenson, T. S.; Taylor, M. A. & Campbell, J. D. 2015. “Characterization of future Caribbean Rainfall and temperature extremes across rainfall zones”. Advances in Meteorology, 2015(425987): 1-18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/425987
Ning, L. & Bradley R.S. 2015. “Winter Climate Extremes over the Northeastern United States and Southeastern Canada and Teleconnections with Large-Scale Modes of Climate Variability”. Journal of Climate. 28: 2475-2493. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00750.1
OMM. 2011. Guía de prácticas climátológicas (3ra ed.). Ginebra, Suiza: OMM.
Pérez, R.; Fonseca, C.; Lapinel, B.; González, C.; Planos, E.; Cutié, V.; … Vega, R. 2009. Actualización del conocimiento sobre variaciones, cambios y tendencias del clima en Cuba. La Habana, Cuba: Instituto de Meteorología.
Peterson, T.C.; Taylor, M.A.; Demeritte, R.; Duncombe, D.L.; Burton, S.; Thompson, F.; Gleason, B. 2002. “Recent changes in climate extremes in the Caribbean region”. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 107(D21), ACL 16-1-ACL 16-9. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002251
Rivero, A. & Ortiz, P. 2005. “El índice NAO como elemento modulador de la variabilidad climática del período poco lluvioso en Cuba”. Revista Colombiana de Meteorología, (9): 67-74.
Rodríguez-Puebla, C.; Encinas, A.H.; García-Casado, L.A.; Nieto, S. 2010. “Trends in warm days and cold nights over the Iberian Peninsula: relationships to large-scale variables”. Clim Chang. 100(3): 667-684. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9721-0
Rubiera, J. & Caymares, A. 1998. “Eventos de tiempo severo inducidos por el ENSO en la temporada invernal cubana”. Bulletin de l’Institut français d’études andines. 27(3).
Stephenson, T.S.; Vincent, L.A.; Allen, T.; Van Meerbeeck, C.J.; McLean, N.; Peterson, T.C.; Trotman, A.R. 2014. “Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Caribbean region, 1961-2010”. International Journal of Climatology , n/a-n/a. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3889
Vincent, L.A.; Aguilar, E.; Saindou, M.; Hassane, A.F.; Jumaux, G.; Roy, D.; … Montfraix, B. 2011. “Observed trends in indices of daily and extreme temperature and precipitation for the countries of the western Indian Ocean, 1961-2008”. Journal of Geophysical Research . 116(D10). https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015303
Wilks, D.S. 2011. Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences (3ra ed.). Amsterdam: Elsevier/Acad. Press, 676p, ISBN: 978-0-12-385022-5
Alexander, L.V.; Zhang, X.; Peterson, T.C.; Caesar, J.; Gleason, B.; Klein-Tank, A.M.G.; Vazquez-Aguirre, J.L. 2006. “Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation”. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111(D5). https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006290
Baltaci, H.; Akkoyunlu, B.O. & Tayanç, M. 2017. “Relationships between teleconnection patterns and Turkish climatic extremes”. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 134(5). DOI: 10.1007/s00704-017-2350-z
Burgos, Y. & González, I. 2012. “Análisis de indicadores de extremos climáticos en la isla de Cuba”. Revista de Climatología, 12: 81-91, ISSN: 1578-8768
Campbell, J.D.; Taylor, M.A.; Stephenson, T.S.; Watson, R.A. & Whyte, F.S. 2011. “Future climate of the Caribbean from a regional climate model”. International Journal of Climatology, 31(12): 1866-1878. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2200
Cedeño, Y. 2015. “Oscilación Ártica y frentes fríos en el occidente de Cuba”. Revista Cubana de Meteorología, 21(1): 91-102, ISSN: 0864-151X
Easterling, D.R.; Meehl, G.A.; Parmesan, C.; Changnon, S.A.; Karl, T.R.; Mearns, L.O. 2000. “Climate Extremes: Observations, Modeling, and Impacts”. Science, 289(5487): 2068-2074. DOI:10.1126/science.289.5487.2068.
Fonseca, C. 2008. La Oscilación del Atlántico Norte, los índices de circulación atmosférica y la lluvia en Cuba. Tesis de Doctorado, La Habana: Instituto de Meteorología
Frich, P.; Alexander, L.V.; Della-Marta, P.M.; Gleason, B.; Haylock, M.; Tank, A.K. & Peterson T. 2002. “Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century”, Climate research, 19(3): 193-212.
Gil, L.; González, I. & Hernández, D. 2019. “Las temperaturas extremas de la temporada invernal en la región occidental de Cuba en el período 1981-2016”. Revista de Climatología , 19: 17-26, ISSN: 1578-8768
González, C. 2006. “Características de la temporada invernal 2004-2005 en Cuba”. Revista Cubana de Meteorología , 13(1): 78-82, ISSN: 0864-151X
González, C. & Pila, E. 2018. “Breve resumen de la temporada invernal 2016-2017”. Revista Cubana de Meteorología , 24(1), 128-135, ISSN: 0864-151X
González-García, I.; Barcia-Sardiñas, S. & Hernández-González, D. 2017. “Comportamiento de Indicadores de extremos climáticos en la Isla de la Juventud”. Revista Cubana de Meteorología , 23(2): 217-225, ISSN: 0864-151X
Hatzaki, M.; Lingis, P.; Flocas, H.A.; Michaelides, S. & Oikonomou, C. 2008. “The impact of an upper tropospheric teleconnection pattern on precipitation extremes over Cyprus”. Adv Geosci, 16:131-136. https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-16-131-2008
Hernández, B. 2002. “El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENOS) y los frentes fríos que arriban a la región occidental cubana”. Investigaciones marinas, 30(2): 3-19.
Justiz, A. 2010. Circulación troposférica asociada a los Frentes Fríos Fuertes que han afectado a Cuba en el período 1950 - 2008. Tesis de Diploma, La Habana: Instituto Superior de Tecnologías y Ciencias Aplicadas, 114p.
Klein-Tank, A.M.G.; Zwiers F.W. & Zhang X. 2009. “Guidelines on Analysis of extremes in a changing climate in support of informed decisions for adaptation”. WCDMP-No. 72 - WMO-TD No. 1500.
Kostopoulou, E. & Jones, P.D. 2005. “Assessment of climate extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean”. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics. 89(1-4): 69-85.
Lecha, L. B.; Paz, L. R. & Lapinel, B. 1994. El Clima de Cuba. La Habana, Cuba: Academia, 186p., ISBN: 959-02-0006-0
Loikith, P.C. & Broccoli, A.J. 2014. “The influence of recurrent modes of climate variability on the occurrence of winter and summer extreme temperatures over North America”. J. Climate. 27: 1600-1618. DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00068.1.
Lü, J.; Li, Y.; Zhai, P. & Chen, J. 2016. “Teleconnection patterns impacting on the summer consecutive extreme rainfall in Central-Eastern China”. International Journal of Climatology . 37(8): 3367-3380. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4923
McLean, N. M.; Stephenson, T. S.; Taylor, M. A. & Campbell, J. D. 2015. “Characterization of future Caribbean Rainfall and temperature extremes across rainfall zones”. Advances in Meteorology, 2015(425987): 1-18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/425987
Ning, L. & Bradley R.S. 2015. “Winter Climate Extremes over the Northeastern United States and Southeastern Canada and Teleconnections with Large-Scale Modes of Climate Variability”. Journal of Climate. 28: 2475-2493. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00750.1
OMM. 2011. Guía de prácticas climátológicas (3ra ed.). Ginebra, Suiza: OMM.
Pérez, R.; Fonseca, C.; Lapinel, B.; González, C.; Planos, E.; Cutié, V.; … Vega, R. 2009. Actualización del conocimiento sobre variaciones, cambios y tendencias del clima en Cuba. La Habana, Cuba: Instituto de Meteorología.
Peterson, T.C.; Taylor, M.A.; Demeritte, R.; Duncombe, D.L.; Burton, S.; Thompson, F.; Gleason, B. 2002. “Recent changes in climate extremes in the Caribbean region”. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 107(D21), ACL 16-1-ACL 16-9. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002251
Rivero, A. & Ortiz, P. 2005. “El índice NAO como elemento modulador de la variabilidad climática del período poco lluvioso en Cuba”. Revista Colombiana de Meteorología, (9): 67-74.
Rodríguez-Puebla, C.; Encinas, A.H.; García-Casado, L.A.; Nieto, S. 2010. “Trends in warm days and cold nights over the Iberian Peninsula: relationships to large-scale variables”. Clim Chang. 100(3): 667-684. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9721-0
Rubiera, J. & Caymares, A. 1998. “Eventos de tiempo severo inducidos por el ENSO en la temporada invernal cubana”. Bulletin de l’Institut français d’études andines. 27(3).
Stephenson, T.S.; Vincent, L.A.; Allen, T.; Van Meerbeeck, C.J.; McLean, N.; Peterson, T.C.; Trotman, A.R. 2014. “Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Caribbean region, 1961-2010”. International Journal of Climatology , n/a-n/a. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3889
Vincent, L.A.; Aguilar, E.; Saindou, M.; Hassane, A.F.; Jumaux, G.; Roy, D.; … Montfraix, B. 2011. “Observed trends in indices of daily and extreme temperature and precipitation for the countries of the western Indian Ocean, 1961-2008”. Journal of Geophysical Research . 116(D10). https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015303
Wilks, D.S. 2011. Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences (3ra ed.). Amsterdam: Elsevier/Acad. Press, 676p, ISBN: 978-0-12-385022-5