Evaluation of the impact of Hurricane Irma, using numerical modeling in the provinces of Artemisa and Mayabeque

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Published: Dec 8, 2017
Keywords:
Hurricane Irma, WRF-ARW model, meteorological variables

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Carlos Manuel González-Ramírez
Centro Meteorológico Territorial Artemisa-Mayabeque
Pedro González-Jardines
Centro Meteorológico Territorial Artemisa-Mayabeque

Abstract

In this investigation it is described the behavior of meteorological variables wind, atmospheric pressure and precipitation, as well as storm surge caused by hurricane Irma and their respective impacts on Cuba’s provinces of Artemisa and Mayabeque, using the numerical forecast model WRF-ARW. Data compiled by National Hurricane Center of the United States of America was used. The maximum sustained winds were estimated for the municipality of Santa Cruz del Norte, through Kraft formula. The results of an expedition realized over the northern coast of both provinces are exposed, where the accuracy of marine forecasts issued was verified. After analyze the available meteorological information it was obtained that hurricane force winds affected the northern coast of Mayabeque, and tropical storm force winds were felt in the rest of this province and over Artemisa’s territory. WRF model simulated correctly the atmospheric pressure behavior, but values were miscalculated. Coastal floods were strong in Playa Baracoa and Santa Cruz del Norte localities (in this last one, the sea advanced as far as 200 m), being the severest of the recorded floods; in the rest of the locations of Artemisa province, they became from light to moderate.

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How to Cite
González-RamírezC. M., & González-JardinesP. (2017). Evaluation of the impact of Hurricane Irma, using numerical modeling in the provinces of Artemisa and Mayabeque. Revista Cubana De Meteorología, 23(3), 363-377. Retrieved from http://rcm.insmet.cu/index.php/rcm/article/view/253
Issue
Vol 23 No 3 (2017): Especial
Section
Original Articles

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References

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Kraft, R.H., 1961: The Hurricane`s central pressure and highest wind. Mar. Wea. Log, 5, 157.
NOAA. 2017. National Hurricane Center. Available: , [Consulted: December 4, 2017].
Pérez, A. & I. Mitrani (2011): Pronóstico del Oleaje en las Costas Cubanas y Mares Interamericanos, mediante el uso de los modelos numéricos MM5, WW3 y SWAN. Memorias VI Congreso Cubano de Meteorología. ISBN 978‐959‐7167‐29‐7.
http://10.0.10.232/CNP/EXPERIMENTAL_GOES_16/INTERACTIVE/DISCO_CH14/ARCHIVO/