Proposal of a dynamic model for numerical storm surge prediction in Cuban coastal zones (MODSUR)
Article Sidebar
Main Article Content
Abstract
of the most sensitive areas to coastal flooding is presented. This model is based on a modification of the “quasi-static method to forecast the storm surges due
to hurricanes” proposed by Bretschneider and Collins (cited in Bretschneider 1990). As input data, the wind and sea level pressure fields from a parametric
hurricane model output that was developed in the Atmospheric Physics’ Centre of the Institute of Meteorology (Alonso and Díaz 2009) were used. The
following study cases were analized: Ivan (September, 2004), Katrina (August, 2005), Wilma (October, 2005), Gustav (August-September, 2008) and Ike
(September, 2008). The influence of the main variables (central minimum pressure, maximum wind, maximum wind radius, sea depth at the position of the cyclone center) and storm surge terms were studied.
A preliminary analysis of the storm surge forecast efficiency in cuban coastal zones is presented. As conclusion, the dynamical model developed improves
the numerical storm surge prediction in Cuban coastal zones with a relative error less than 17 % for the cases studied.
Downloads
Article Details
Those authors who have publications with this journal accept the following terms of the License Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0):
You are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material
The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms.
Under the following terms:
- Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
- NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes.
- No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.
The journal is not responsible for the opinions and concepts expressed in the works, they are the sole responsibility of the authors. The Editor, with the assistance of the Editorial Committee, reserves the right to suggest or request advisable or necessary modifications. They are accepted to publish original scientific papers, research results of interest that have not been published or sent to another journal for the same purpose.
The mention of trademarks of equipment, instruments or specific materials is for identification purposes, and there is no promotional commitment in relation to them, neither by the authors nor by the publisher.