Evaluación de esquemas de microfísica del wrf-arw en el pronóstico de cizalladura del viento a bajo nivel durante tormentas convectivas en el Areropuerto Internacional José Martí
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Publicado:
Jul 27, 2022
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esquema de microfísica, WRF-ARW, cizalladura del viento en niveles bajos, tormenta convectiva
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Resumen
Se realizó un estudio de sensibilidad para los esquemas de microfísica de Lin, Morrison 2- moment, WSM5 y WSM6 utilizando el modelo Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) para el pronóstico numérico de la cizalladura del viento en niveles bajos (LLWS) vinculado a tormentas convectivas en Aeropuerto Internacional "José Martí". Como casos de estudio, se seleccionan cuatro tormentas convectivas asociadas con diferentes patrones sinópticos y, por lo tanto, diferentes mecanismos de formación. Además, se aplicó el modelo de masa consistente para reducir la influencia de los obstáculos en la pista durante la interpolación del campo de viento. Se desarrolló inicialmente una evaluación de la configuración del modelo, para las variables en superficie: temperatura, presión atmosférica, humedad relativa y precipitación. Los esquemas no mostraron diferencias significativas, pero la humedad relativa presentó los peores resultados. El mejor desempeño para el pronóstico de precipitación se obtuvo con WSM5 en el periodo lluvioso (mayo-octubre) y Lin en el poco lluvioso (noviembre-abril). Los resultados revelan que la concentración de partículas de cada tipo de hidrometeoro resuelto por las microfísicas en estudio, repercute en los perfiles verticales de viento durante las tormentas. En general, WSM5 y Lin resultaron los esquemas de microfísica más hábiles en el modelo WRF para predecir la cizalladura del viento en niveles bajos en la región de estudio, pero se requieren más estudios para generalizar nuestros hallazgos.
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Coll-HidalgoP., Pérez-AlarcónA., González-JardinesP. M., Góngora-GonzálezC. M., & Díaz-ZuritaA. (2022). Evaluación de esquemas de microfísica del wrf-arw en el pronóstico de cizalladura del viento a bajo nivel durante tormentas convectivas en el Areropuerto Internacional José Martí. Revista Cubana De Meteorología, 28(3). Recuperado a partir de http://rcm.insmet.cu/index.php/rcm/article/view/645
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Citas
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Hon, K.-K. 2018. “Simulated satellite imagery at sub-kilometre resolution by the Hong Kong observatory”. Weather, 73: 139-144, ISSN: 431656, DOI:10.1002/met.1534.
Hon, K.-K. 2020. “Predicting Low-Level Wind Shear Using 200-m-Resolution NWP at the Hong Kong International Airport”. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 59: 193-207, ISSN: 1558-8424, DOI:10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0186.1.
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